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  • Jul
    7

    IEMS Seminar: Sensitivity Analysis of Individual Treatment Effects: A Robust Conformal Inference Approach

    Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences

    11:00 AM ITW 1.350, Ford Motor Company Engineering Design Center

    EVENT DETAILS

    Professor Zhimei Ren

    University of Chicago

    Title: Sensitivity Analysis of Individual Treatment Effects: A Robust Conformal Inference Approach

    Abstract: We propose a model-free framework for sensitivity analysis of individual treatment effects (ITEs), building upon ideas from conformal inference. For any unit, our procedure reports the ¦£-value, a number which quantifies the minimum strength of confounding needed to explain away the evidence for ITE. Our approach rests on the reliable predictive inference of counterfactuals and ITEs in situations where the training data is confounded. Under the marginal sensitivity model of Tan (2006), we characterize the shift between the distribution of the observations and that of the counterfactuals. We first develop a general method for predictive inference of test samples from a shifted distribution; we then leverage this to construct covariate-dependent prediction sets for counterfactuals. No matter the value of the shift, these prediction sets (resp. approximately) achieve marginal coverage if the propensity score is known exactly (resp. estimated). We describe a distinct procedure also attaining coverage, however, conditional on the training data. In the latter case, we prove a sharpness result showing that for certain classes of prediction problems, the prediction intervals cannot possibly be tightened. We verify the validity and performance of the new methods via simulation studies and apply them to analyze real datasets.

    This is joint work with Ying Jin and Emmanuel Cand¨¨s.

    Bio: Zhimei Ren is currently a postdoctoral researcher in the Statistics department at the University of Chicago, working with Prof. Rina Foygel Barber. Before coming to the University of Chicago, she received her Ph.D. in Statistics from Stanford University, under the supervision of Prof. Emmanuel Cand¨¨s, and prior to this she received her B.S. in Statistics from Peking University. Her research interests lie broadly in the span of multiple hypothesis testing, causal inference, survival analysis, distribution-free inference and data-driven decision-making.

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    TIME Thursday, July 7, 2022 at 11:00 AM - 12:00 PM

    LOCATION ITW 1.350, Ford Motor Company Engineering Design Center    map it

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    CONTACT Agnes Kaminski    a-kaminski@northwestern.edu EMAIL

    CALENDAR Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences

  • Apr
    23

    Massive Speedups for Policy Simulation in Inventory Management Applications

    Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences (IEMS)

    11:00 AM ITW 1.350, Ford Motor Company Engineering Design Center

    EVENT DETAILS

    TIME Tuesday, April 23, 2024 at 11:00 AM - 12:00 PM

    LOCATION ITW 1.350, Ford Motor Company Engineering Design Center    map it

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    CONTACT Kendall Minta    kendall.minta@gmail.com EMAIL

    CALENDAR Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences (IEMS)

  • May
    8

    Extending Care: A Conversation about Conservation and Futurity

    Block Museum of Art

    6:00 PM Block Museum of Art, Mary and Leigh

    EVENT DETAILSmore info

    TIME Wednesday, May 8, 2024 at 6:00 PM - 7:30 PM

    LOCATION Block Museum of Art, Mary and Leigh    map it

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    CONTACT Block Museum of Art    block-museum@northwestern.edu EMAIL

    CALENDAR Block Museum of Art

  • Jun
    10

    Northwestern Engineering PhD Hooding and Master's Degree Recognition Ceremony

    McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science

    9:00 AM Welsh-Ryan Arena

    EVENT DETAILSmore info

    TIME Monday, June 10, 2024 at 9:00 AM - 11:00 AM

    LOCATION Welsh-Ryan Arena   

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    CONTACT Amy Pokrass    amy.pokrass@northwestern.edu EMAIL

    CALENDAR McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science

  • Jun
    10

    Northwestern Engineering Undergraduate Convocation

    McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science

    2:00 PM Welsh-Ryan Arena

    EVENT DETAILSmore info

    TIME Monday, June 10, 2024 at 2:00 PM - 4:00 PM

    LOCATION Welsh-Ryan Arena   

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    CONTACT Amy Pokrass    amy.pokrass@northwestern.edu EMAIL

    CALENDAR McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science

  • Aug
    14

    Undergraduate Quantum Summer School

    McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science

    All Day Ford Motor Company Engineering Design Center

    EVENT DETAILSmore info

    TIME Wednesday, August 14, 2024

    LOCATION Ford Motor Company Engineering Design Center    map it

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    CONTACT Dongyang Li    lidongyang@northwestern.edu EMAIL

    CALENDAR McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science

  • Aug
    15

    Undergraduate Quantum Summer School

    McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science

    All Day Ford Motor Company Engineering Design Center

    EVENT DETAILSmore info

    TIME Thursday, August 15, 2024

    LOCATION Ford Motor Company Engineering Design Center    map it

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    CONTACT Dongyang Li    lidongyang@northwestern.edu EMAIL

    CALENDAR McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science